[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":91},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-bank-of-japan-decision-in-june":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"287195","bank-of-japan-decision-in-june","Bank of Japan Decision in June?","The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boj.or.jp\u002Fen\u002Fmopo\u002Fmpmsche_minu\u002Findex.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boj.or.jp\u002Fen\u002Fmopo\u002Fmpmsche_minu\u002Findex.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","Bank of Japan Decision in June? is a prediction market asking traders to forecast how the Bank of Japan will change the upper bound of its short-term policy interest rate following the June 2026 Monetary Policy meeting. The market focuses on the official Statement on Monetary Policy, scheduled for release on June 16, 2026, and resolves to the size of any move in basis points versus the pre-meeting level. If the BoJ sets a rate change that falls between listed brackets, the result is rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points, and if no statement is released by the end of the next scheduled meeting, the market resolves to “No change.”\n\nThis event matters because Bank of Japan policy is a key driver of Japan’s economy, global rates, and economic policy expectations. Current market probability is about 1.15%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of a rate move in the tracked direction, though prediction market odds can shift as new data and reporting emerge. The primary resolution source is the Bank of Japan’s official website, with credible news consensus allowed if needed. The forecast is closely watched by participants tracking Japan, interest rates, and broader monetary policy sentiment.","ECONOMY","Japan",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"interest rates","Global Rates","Economy","Economic Policy","World","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fboj-emergency-rate-cut-in-august-K4KcXEDWiliA.jpg",1.15,3246.945003,50332.10505,54159.15778,47923.736206,27554.9355725,true,false,"2026-03-19T23:17:51.829Z","2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-19T19:21:56.549Z","2026-05-30T10:37:05.848Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbank-of-japan-decision-in-june?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"bank of japan decision in june?","bank of japan decision in june? prediction","bank of japan decision in june? odds","bank of japan decision in june? probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-05T13:21:22.616Z","2026-05-30T10:43:02.983Z",0,[44,59,78],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":26},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[48,15,50,51,52],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":63,"tags":64,"probability":72,"createdAt":73,"updatedAt":74,"resolutionDate":75,"description":76,"summary":76,"volume1wk":77,"featured":26},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[63,65,66,15,67,68,69,70,71],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-05-30T10:31:45.641Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1537804.481213998,{"id":79,"title":80,"slug":81,"category":10,"subcategory":70,"tags":82,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":89,"summary":89,"volume1wk":90,"featured":26},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[70,15,83,84,68,69,65,66,67],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",56,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-05-30T10:36:40.524Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1175859.2980450026,1780676586290]