[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-anthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"502667","anthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31","Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?","This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https:\u002F\u002Ffe.secondmarket.com\u002Fcompanies\u002Fcompany-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757\u002Fdata?return_url=https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Ffinance\u002Fprivates) and here (https:\u002F\u002Ffe.secondmarket.com\u002Fcompanies\u002Fcompany-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca\u002Fdata?return_url=https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Ffinance\u002Fprivates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nIf Anthropic's valuation is equal to OpenAI's valuation at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.","Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? is a technology prediction market focused on which AI company will have the larger private market valuation at the end of 2026. The forecast is based on the final Nasdaq Private Market (NPM) Price for December 31, 2026, with resolution rules that also account for a possible IPO, direct listing, or other corporate changes before the deadline. If NPM data is delayed, the market may remain open into early January 2027 before settling on the latest available information. As of the latest reading, traders are assigning Anthropic about an 80.5% probability of finishing with the higher valuation, suggesting strong market sentiment in its favor, though the outcome is not guaranteed. The event is relevant to AI, LLMs, Big Tech, and private-company finance because it compares two of the most closely watched names in frontier AI: Anthropic, maker of Claude, and OpenAI. Prediction-market participants are effectively pricing the expected outcome of their relative valuations rather than product performance or revenue alone.","TECH","Finance",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Privates","llm","AI","Big Tech","Tech","OpenAI","Claude","anthropic","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fanthropic-vs-openai-larger-valuation-on-june-30-oZABetS_3M1U.jpg",80.5,1391.662678,14569.274951000001,9653.572,11319.134012,6997.3282243,true,false,"2026-05-19T20:32:37.045Z","2027-01-01T12:00:00.000Z","2026-05-19T16:34:43.730Z","2026-05-30T10:30:11.136Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fanthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"anthropic vs openai - higher valuation on december 31?","anthropic vs openai - higher valuation on december 31? prediction","anthropic vs openai - higher valuation on december 31? odds","anthropic vs openai - higher valuation on december 31? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-05T13:39:45.066Z","2026-05-30T10:43:20.498Z",0,[47,60,71],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":51,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":31,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":28},"500775","Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31",[11,13,14,17,16,15,52,53,18,54],"chatgpt","sam altman","OpenAI IPO",6.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:56.965Z","2026-05-30T10:34:16.260Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. \n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest\u002Flowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https:\u002F\u002Ffe.secondmarket.com\u002Fcompanies\u002Fcompany-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca\u002Fdata?return_url=https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Ffinance\u002Fprivates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",98053.93702400001,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":29},"500550","Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-june-30",[11,13,52,14,15,18,53,17,16,54],1.55,"2026-05-30T10:43:00.112Z","2026-05-30T10:35:59.848Z","2026-07-01T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest\u002Flowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https:\u002F\u002Ffe.secondmarket.com\u002Fcompanies\u002Fcompany-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca\u002Fdata?return_url=https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Ffinance\u002Fprivates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",63443.371187000004,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":89,"featured":29},"522282","What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?","what-price-will-nvda-hit-in-june-2026",[11,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Stocks","Equities","NVDA","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)",8.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:21.452Z","2026-05-30T10:30:55.493Z","2026-07-01T03:59:59.999Z",13451.855446,1780676595146]