[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-995":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"431320","another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-995","Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nClassifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.\n\nQualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. \n\nAn incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.\n\nRevisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com\u002Fhistory); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","“Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?” is a prediction market asking whether Cloudflare will experience another incident classified as Critical (red) before the market’s resolution date. The forecast focuses on official Cloudflare status updates and history pages, with a Yes result only if a resolved incident is marked Critical within the stated timeframe. If an incident is still open at resolution, traders will wait until it is marked resolved, and the first post-resolution impact classification will determine the outcome. The market runs from April 30, 2026 through September 30, 2026 (ET), making the timing important for any outage, hack, or major service disruption affecting the Big Tech cloud infrastructure provider. Current market probability is about 43%, suggesting traders see the event as plausible but far from certain. As with other prediction market contracts, sentiment can shift quickly if Cloudflare reports a serious outage, security issue, or other high-impact incident. This event prediction is relevant to technology, business, and infrastructure watchers tracking service reliability and operational risk.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Industry","outage","hack","Tech","Big Tech","Business","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fanother-cloudflare-outage-by-december-31-ZvgP8wCUPojG.png",43,548.96,9788.057319000001,27324.82094,13792.001853,8675.861383700001,true,false,"2026-04-30T19:23:20.291Z","2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-29T14:56:32.340Z","2026-05-30T10:34:27.100Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fanother-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-995?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"another critical cloudflare incident by...?","another critical cloudflare incident by...? prediction","another critical cloudflare incident by...? odds","another critical cloudflare incident by...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:46:36.893Z","2026-05-30T10:43:26.995Z",0,[45,63,76],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":57,"createdAt":58,"updatedAt":59,"resolutionDate":60,"description":61,"summary":61,"volume1wk":62,"featured":26},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,50,51,52,53,54,55,56],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":64,"title":65,"slug":66,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":67,"probability":43,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":26},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,68,69,70],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":80,"probability":43,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":26},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,81,70,82,83,69,68],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676584505]