[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-alabama-republican-senate-primary-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"80071","alabama-republican-senate-primary-winner","Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner","This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.\n\nIf no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner is a political prediction market focused on who will win the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. The event asks traders to forecast the outcome of the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate primary, with resolution tied to the first official results announced by the Alabama Republican Party or, if needed, credible consensus reporting. If no 2026 primary takes place, the market resolves to \"Other.\" The market opens on November 13, 2025 and is scheduled around the May 19, 2026 primary deadline. As a political forecast, this event reflects market sentiment on the likely nominee and the expected outcome in one of Alabama’s key election contests. Current market probability is around 5%, suggesting the leading outcome is still viewed as relatively uncertain and subject to change as the race develops. This listing is relevant for election watchers, primary elections coverage, and analysts tracking Senate Primary odds, Alabama Primary dynamics, and broader political prediction market activity.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Elections","Primaries","primary elections","Senate Primary","Alabama Primary","Republican Primary","May 19 Primaries","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Falabama-democratic-senate-primary-winner-5tnx74JjzCuh.png",0.05,119.87,16144.803398,108033.21721,64851.205919,26510.0194614,true,false,"2025-11-13T19:16:21.886Z","2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-12T23:00:04.105Z","2026-05-30T10:40:22.655Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Falabama-republican-senate-primary-winner?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"alabama republican senate primary winner","alabama republican senate primary winner prediction","alabama republican senate primary winner odds","alabama republican senate primary winner probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:38:12.231Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.994Z",0,[46,62,75],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":56,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":59,"description":60,"summary":60,"volume1wk":61,"featured":27},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,51,13,52,53,54,14,55],"US Election","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":63,"title":64,"slug":65,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":66,"probability":44,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":27},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,67,68,69],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":79,"probability":44,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":27},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,80,69,81,82,68,67],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676603252]