[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-ai-model-scores-90-on-frontiermath-benchmark-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"79080","ai-model-scores-90-on-frontiermath-benchmark-before-2027","AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ","AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? asks whether a state-of-the-art AI model will achieve a score of 90% or higher on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This technology prediction market centers on frontier AI performance, with the outcome determined primarily by EpochAI or, if needed, a consensus of credible reporting. FrontierMath is a difficult benchmark designed to test advanced mathematical reasoning, so a qualifying result would be a notable signal for the AI industry, big tech, and broader machine learning progress. The market is currently pricing this event at about 81.5% probability, suggesting traders expect the threshold to be reached before the deadline, though the forecast is not certain. Because the resolution depends on a specific benchmark score and a clear end date, it is a clean event prediction for tracking market sentiment around AI capability gains through 2026.","TECH","AI",[11,13,14,15],"Big Tech","Business","Tech","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fsota-ai-model-scores-90-on-frontiermath-benchmark-in-2025-cDBiDf8ZAV4E.jpg",81.5,672.7820499999999,15718.697209999997,7492.8147,19890.035317,6550.563127999999,true,false,"2025-11-12T22:22:58.008Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-11T18:43:26.120Z","2026-06-16T10:02:32.832Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fai-model-scores-90-on-frontiermath-benchmark-before-2027?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"ai model scores ≥ 90% on frontiermath benchmark before 2027?","ai model scores ≥ 90% on frontiermath benchmark before 2027? prediction","ai model scores ≥ 90% on frontiermath benchmark before 2027? odds","ai model scores ≥ 90% on frontiermath benchmark before 2027? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:28:57.492Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.757Z",0,[42,56,67],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":23},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[11,15,13,47,48,14,49],"Economy","DeepSeek","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":40,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":24},"36308","Claude 5 released by…?","claude-5-released-by",[11,15,61],"Claude 5","2026-05-30T10:42:48.289Z","2026-05-30T10:36:27.841Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",635833.2265890003,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":40,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":24},"425249","GPT-5.6 released by...?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",[11,72,15,73],"OpenAI","gpt","2026-05-30T10:42:52.817Z","2026-06-16T10:04:24.803Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nGPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market)\n \nQualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex\u002FTranscribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano\u002FMini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",248340.12905899994,1781606246589]