[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"308216","abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by","Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? is a political prediction market focused on whether Abbas Araghchi will cease serving as Iran’s foreign minister before the market closes on June 30, 2026 ET. The contract resolves to “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, detained, or otherwise stopped from performing the duties of the office for any period within the specified timeframe. It can also resolve early if an official resignation or removal is announced before the end date, even if the change takes effect later. As a geopolitics event tied to Iran and U.S. x Iran dynamics, the market is tracking questions about government stability, leadership continuity, and possible diplomatic shifts. Current market probability is shown at 0%, indicating traders currently assign no measured chance to a near-term exit, though prediction market sentiment can change quickly with official statements or credible reporting. Resolution will rely on official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran, with consensus media coverage also considered when necessary. This event prediction is relevant for anyone following Iranian politics, cabinet turnover, and geopolitical risk.","POLITICS","Geopolitics",[11,13,14,15],"Araghchi","U.S. x Iran","Iran","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fabbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by-5T1AaEzm3Lpd.jpg",0,1105.967586,13347.613235,18880.40146,7764.3993040000005,8333.3480555,true,false,"2026-03-27T17:58:15.646Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-25T22:45:55.984Z","2026-06-16T10:02:33.437Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fabbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by...?","abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by...? prediction","abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by...? odds","abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:30:55.353Z","2026-06-16T10:08:29.121Z",[41,52,70],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":45,"tags":46,"probability":17,"createdAt":47,"updatedAt":48,"resolutionDate":49,"description":50,"summary":50,"volume1wk":51,"featured":23},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by","Politics",[45,11,14,15],"2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":53,"title":54,"slug":55,"category":10,"subcategory":45,"tags":56,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":67,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":23},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[45,57,58,59,60,61,62,63],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":45,"tags":74,"probability":17,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":23},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[45,75,15,76,77,14,11,78],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","Peace Deal","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-06-16T10:07:26.988Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",4565895.467737994,1781606231222]