[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-2026-south-korean-local-elections-party-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"90335","2026-south-korean-local-elections-party-winner","2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner","South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.\n\nA candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.\n\nSouth Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:\n\nCities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong\n\nProvinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong,  North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.\n\nA party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.\n\nIn the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.\n\nResolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.","2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the most head of local government races in South Korea’s upper-level local elections. The forecast covers mayoral contests in Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, and Sejong, plus governor races in Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, and Gangwon. The election is scheduled for June 3, 2026, and the market will resolve when official results make it mathematically impossible for another party to overtake the leader. Independent candidates do not count toward any party total.\n\nThis event matters because it offers a clean party-level read on South Korea’s local political landscape, with market sentiment reflecting traders’ expectations across the country’s major urban and provincial contests. As of the latest data, the market-implied probability is 98.25%, indicating a strong consensus on the expected outcome, though the final result will depend on official reporting from the National Election Commission. If results are delayed, the market remains open until the election outcome is known or until the January 31, 2027 deadline for resolution based on available results.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Elections","South Korea","Global Elections","World","World Elections","Main Election","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002F2026-south-korean-local-elections-party-winner-tQY_7bs8m8kn.png",98.25,3896.311740999999,85228.81684999999,423647.78213,169403.74448700002,112246.3573515,true,false,"2025-12-02T22:17:01.705Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-25T19:29:53.886Z","2026-05-30T10:40:18.629Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002F2026-south-korean-local-elections-party-winner?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"2026 south korean local elections: party winner","2026 south korean local elections: party winner prediction","2026 south korean local elections: party winner odds","2026 south korean local elections: party winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:16:01.887Z","2026-05-30T10:42:57.986Z",0,[45,58,72],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":26},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,15,13,16,17,50,51,18],"Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":27},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,15,17,13,63,64,18,65],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":27},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,77,15,78,79,18,13,80,81],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676608777]