[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-2026-may-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"424360","2026-may-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record","2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?","This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record. \n\nNote: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"May\" (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.giss.nasa.gov\u002Fgistemp\u002Ftabledata_v4\u002FGLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.","2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? is a weather prediction market asking whether May 2026 will rank among the three warmest Mays ever measured in NASA’s Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. The forecast is resolved using the May value in NASA’s GISTEMP dataset, with ties counting toward the relevant bracket, so if May 2026 ties for first, second, or third, it qualifies. This makes the event a focused global temperature forecast within the WEATHER \u002F Global Temp category, tracking how an individual month compares with the historical record. Current market probability is about 1.25%, suggesting traders see a low chance that May 2026 finishes in the top three hottest Mays on record. The market remains active from late April through the June 10, 2026 end date, while the resolution deadline is June 30, 2026 if NASA has not published the needed data. For traders and observers following climate-related event prediction markets, the listing reflects market sentiment on global warming, monthly temperature anomalies, and the expected outcome for one of the most closely watched climate indicators.","WEATHER","Global Temp",[11,13,14],"Weather","Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fearth+on+fire.png",1.25,1017.795134,32871.817272,25473.30883,54798.631332,15465.104514600001,true,false,"2026-04-27T20:38:07.722Z","2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-27T15:25:47.483Z","2026-05-30T10:32:42.858Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002F2026-may-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"2026 may 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?","2026 may 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? prediction","2026 may 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? odds","2026 may 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? probability","weather prediction market","weather forecast","weather probability","2026-06-05T13:26:41.417Z","2026-05-30T10:43:07.899Z",0,[41,54,66],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":45,"probability":48,"createdAt":49,"updatedAt":50,"resolutionDate":51,"description":52,"summary":52,"volume1wk":53,"featured":22},"448037","Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026",[13,46,47],"Pandemics","Hantavirus",6.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.620Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.386Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",1207277.849095,{"id":55,"title":56,"slug":57,"category":10,"subcategory":47,"tags":58,"probability":60,"createdAt":61,"updatedAt":62,"resolutionDate":63,"description":64,"summary":64,"volume1wk":65,"featured":22},"488817","Ebola case in the US by June 30?","ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30",[47,13,59],"Ebola",35.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:05.245Z","2026-05-30T10:36:49.039Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",41114.851217,{"id":67,"title":68,"slug":69,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":70,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":23},"533144","Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-may-30-2026",[13,71,72,73,74,75,76],"Recurring","Hide From New","Seoul","Daily Temperature","Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (2)","Highest temperature",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.351Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.034Z","2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wunderground.com\u002Fhistory\u002Fdaily\u002Fkr\u002Fincheon\u002FRKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.",243323.698127,1780676664349]