[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-2026-aberdeen-south-by-election-winner-20260609203348554":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"577958","2026-aberdeen-south-by-election-winner-20260609203348554","2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aberdeencity.gov.uk\u002F).","The 2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner prediction market asks traders to forecast which candidate will win the UK parliamentary by-election in the Aberdeen South constituency, currently scheduled for June 18, 2026. This election market matters because it reflects local political momentum in Scotland and can offer a timely read on market sentiment around a closely watched UK electoral contest. The outcome will resolve to the candidate confirmed as the winner in the official election results, with Aberdeen City Council serving as the key resolution source if there is any ambiguity. If the result is still not definitively known by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” Current market probability is around 40%, indicating that the expected outcome is still uncertain and subject to change as the vote approaches. As a prediction market, this event combines election forecasting, odds tracking, and trader assessment of the likely winner, making it relevant for users following politics, elections, and global election forecasting.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"scotland","United Kingdom","Elections","Global Elections","by election","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg",0.4,2318.179541,15636.877385,39542.90226,6128.794956,13758.733438,true,false,"2026-06-09T23:02:22.817Z","2026-06-19T03:59:00.000Z","2026-06-09T22:42:06.165Z","2026-06-16T10:02:00.960Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002F2026-aberdeen-south-by-election-winner-20260609203348554?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"2026 aberdeen south by-election winner","2026 aberdeen south by-election winner prediction","2026 aberdeen south by-election winner odds","2026 aberdeen south by-election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:29:02.234Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.889Z",0,[44,59,74],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":25},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,16,49,15,50,51,52],"World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":25},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,16,15,64,49,65,66,52,67],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia","Macro Election 1",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-06-16T10:05:17.604Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1044563.6338270012,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":78,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":26},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,79,16,80,81,52,15,82,83],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",77.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-06-16T10:06:49.555Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",3351349.079954987,1781606235733]