[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":533},["ShallowReactive",2],{"category-events-culture":3,"category-content-culture":84},[4,22,36,50,64,76,88,102,114,125,138,151,164,175,186,197,208,221,236,249,262,274,285,295,306,321,335,347,358,371,384,395,406,416,427,438,453,466,476,488,501,512,522],{"id":5,"title":6,"slug":7,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":10,"probability":14,"createdAt":15,"updatedAt":16,"resolutionDate":17,"description":18,"summary":19,"volume1wk":20,"featured":21},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","CULTURE","Culture",[9,11,12,13],"Politics","Science","Aliens",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.153Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? is a culture prediction market asking whether the United States government will make a definitive public statement that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The event resolves to Yes if the President, a Cabinet member, a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency explicitly confirms alien life or alien technology; otherwise it resolves to No. The market’s primary resolution source is official US government information, with credible reporting used only if needed. This makes the forecast especially relevant to traders tracking politics, science, and public disclosure claims around unidentified aerial phenomena and extraterrestrial intelligence. As of the latest update, the prediction market implies about a 14.5% probability of a Yes outcome, suggesting market sentiment still leans strongly toward No. With the start date set for November 25, 2025 and the deadline at the end of 2026, this event prediction will likely stay sensitive to government statements, agency disclosures, and major headlines over time.",3652303.3036910007,true,{"id":23,"title":24,"slug":25,"category":8,"subcategory":26,"tags":27,"probability":29,"createdAt":30,"updatedAt":31,"resolutionDate":17,"description":32,"summary":33,"volume1wk":34,"featured":35},"149793","Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?","will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027","Space",[26,9,28,12],"SpaceX",8.95,"2026-05-30T10:43:26.516Z","2026-05-30T10:40:21.125Z","If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002Fc\u002FSpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and\u002For written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.","Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? is a Space prediction market asking whether the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite will successfully launch from its launch pad by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if an actual launch is confirmed within that timeframe; any later anomaly after liftoff does not affect the outcome, and a name change to another vehicle also does not change the result. Verification will rely on official SpaceX video, with secondary video feeds or written reports used if needed. This makes the event a focused forecast on a specific SpaceX-related launch milestone rather than the broader mission outcome. Traders are currently assigning a probability of about 8.95%, suggesting market sentiment is cautious and that the expected outcome is still viewed as unlikely. Because the event sits in the Culture \u002F Space category and is tied to SpaceX and science, it attracts attention from both space watchers and prediction market participants tracking launch timing, odds, and event prediction through the end of 2026.",10005.104174,false,{"id":37,"title":38,"slug":39,"category":8,"subcategory":40,"tags":41,"probability":44,"createdAt":45,"updatedAt":46,"resolutionDate":17,"description":47,"summary":48,"volume1wk":49,"featured":35},"149775","Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?","which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year","Music",[40,9,42,43],"billboard","hot 100",13.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:18.122Z","2026-05-30T10:40:20.758Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.\n\nBillboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.\n\nUpdates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.billboard.com\u002Fcharts\u002Fhot-100\u002F and through other official Billboard channels.","Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? is a culture prediction market in the Music category forecasting whether any listed artist will reach No. 1 on the official Billboard Hot 100 during 2026. The event resolves “Yes” if a song by a listed primary artist tops any weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart published for a reference period entirely within January 1 through December 31, 2026. Billboard’s weekly charts, which update on Tuesdays, are the resolution source, and the market’s timeframe runs from January 9, 2026 through December 31, 2026. Jointly credited primary artists count, while features and other non-primary credits do not.\n\nThis event matters because the Hot 100 is one of the most closely watched measures of mainstream music performance, making it a useful forecast for pop culture momentum, artist breakout potential, and broader market sentiment. Prediction market traders are currently pricing the chance of this expected outcome at about 13.5%, suggesting relatively low odds that one of the listed artists will claim a Billboard #1 song before year-end. As with any event prediction, that probability can change as releases, chart performance, and Billboard updates evolve over the course of the year.",16695.478304,{"id":51,"title":52,"slug":53,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":54,"probability":57,"createdAt":58,"updatedAt":59,"resolutionDate":60,"description":61,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":35},"515567","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2",[9,11,55,56],"Tweet Markets","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.824Z","2026-05-30T10:40:11.045Z","2026-06-02T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026? is a Culture prediction market that forecasts how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X during the measured period from May 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The event is resolved using the tracker’s Post Counter, with main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts counted, while replies do not count unless they appear as main-feed replies captured by the tracker. Deleted posts may still count if they are recorded in time, and the tracker or X itself can serve as the resolution source if needed.\n\nThis event matters because Musk’s posting cadence often drives market sentiment across culture and politics-related prediction markets, making it a closely watched event prediction for traders tracking social media activity. Current market probability is around 5%, suggesting the market expects a relatively low total under the specified rules. As the June 2 deadline approaches, traders will be watching odds and post frequency to gauge the expected outcome.",3323634.386235,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":68,"probability":70,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":17,"description":73,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":35},"90178","Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?","will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027",[9,69],"Parent For Derivative",1.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.625Z","2026-05-30T10:39:48.561Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? is a culture prediction market asking traders to forecast whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ will occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if that event is reported by a consensus of credible sources; otherwise it resolves to No. As a religious and cultural event prediction, it attracts attention because it sits at the intersection of faith, public discourse, and speculative forecasting. The current market probability is about 1.95%, suggesting traders assign a very low odds of a return before the deadline. With the market active through the end of 2026, market sentiment can shift as new information, commentary, or broader conversation influences expectations. For prediction market participants, the key question is not theology but the expected outcome under the stated resolution rules. This listing belongs to the Culture category and is useful for tracking how traders price an event with an unusually long-tail outcome and a clear time-based cutoff.",291414.17279000033,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":80,"probability":57,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":84,"description":85,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":35},"428347","Top Spotify artist in May?","top-spotify-artist-in-may",[9,81,40],"spotify","2026-05-30T10:42:58.597Z","2026-05-30T10:39:41.792Z",null,"This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET.\n\nThe monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify.","Top Spotify artist in May? is a Culture prediction market asking which listed artist will have the greatest number of monthly listeners on Spotify at the May 31, 2026, 12PM ET resolution time. The outcome will be determined from each artist’s public Spotify profile, with only primary artist profiles counting toward the total; features and collaborations under another artist’s page do not qualify. If there is an exact tie, the market resolves by alphabetical order of the artist names. Should Spotify be unavailable at the deadline, the market will use the most recent available data.\n\nThis event matters because Spotify monthly listeners are a widely watched indicator of current streaming reach, fan engagement, and overall momentum in pop culture and music. Traders in the prediction market are effectively forecasting which artist will lead the platform at month-end, making market sentiment a useful snapshot of expected outcome and odds. The current market probability for the leading outcome is 5%, suggesting a low but active expectation around the favorite. The market opened on April 28, 2026 and remains active ahead of the final Spotify check.",77977.83130600001,{"id":89,"title":90,"slug":91,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":92,"probability":95,"createdAt":96,"updatedAt":97,"resolutionDate":98,"description":99,"summary":100,"volume1wk":101,"featured":35},"23784","What will happen before GTA VI?","what-will-happen-before-gta-vi",[9,93,11,94],"All","GTA VI",100,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.215Z","2026-05-30T10:38:43.289Z","2026-07-31T12:00:00.000Z","This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","What will happen before GTA VI? is a Culture prediction market that asks traders to forecast which events will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI. The market is focused on the period leading up to the game’s launch, with the event currently set to run until July 31, 2026. In plain terms, participants are weighing the odds of possible developments, announcements, or related incidents happening ahead of GTA VI rather than after it is released. This makes the listing relevant not only to gaming and entertainment followers, but also to broader pop culture watchers tracking major industry news around Rockstar Games and Grand Theft Auto. Market sentiment is highly active, with the current probability shown at 100%, indicating strong confidence in the event being resolved by the forecasted timeframe. As a prediction market, it reflects collective event prediction and trader expectations rather than a guarantee, and it can be useful for understanding how the market is pricing the expected outcome around one of the most anticipated video game releases in recent years.",249340.92635199934,{"id":103,"title":104,"slug":105,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":106,"probability":107,"createdAt":108,"updatedAt":109,"resolutionDate":110,"description":111,"summary":112,"volume1wk":113,"featured":35},"523920","Elon Musk # tweets May 28 - May 30, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-28-may-30",[9,11,55,56],0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.240Z","2026-05-30T10:38:25.177Z","2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 28 12:00 PM ET to May 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","Elon Musk # tweets May 28 - May 30, 2026? is a Culture prediction market asking traders to forecast how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X during the specified window, from May 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to May 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The event resolves using the tracker’s “Post Counter” figure on xtracker.polymarket.com, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts; replies do not count unless they appear as main feed posts captured by the tracker. Deleted posts can still count if they are recorded in time, and community reposts are excluded. This makes the market a narrow event prediction focused on Musk’s posting activity rather than broader platform engagement. As of the latest data, the market probability is about 15%, suggesting traders assign a relatively low likelihood to the forecasted outcome. The deadline is the end of the measurement period on May 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, after which the final post total determines resolution.",981155.6206019998,{"id":115,"title":116,"slug":117,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":118,"probability":57,"createdAt":119,"updatedAt":120,"resolutionDate":121,"description":122,"summary":123,"volume1wk":124,"featured":35},"540037","Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-june-2-june-9",[9,11,55,56],"2026-05-30T10:42:58.991Z","2026-05-30T10:38:22.666Z","2026-06-09T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026? is a culture prediction market forecasting how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X during the period from June 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on the tracker’s “Post Counter” figure at xtracker.polymarket.com, with only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts counted; replies do not count. Deleted posts may count if captured by the tracker, and X can be used as a backup resolution source if needed.\n\nThis event matters because Musk’s posting activity can move market sentiment across culture, politics, and tech-related prediction markets, making it a closely watched event prediction for traders tracking online behavior. The current market probability is about 5%, suggesting relatively low odds of a high-volume posting outcome at this stage. The forecast is active through the June 9 deadline, and traders will monitor how Musk’s X activity evolves over the final days before resolution.",75975.034163,{"id":126,"title":127,"slug":128,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":129,"probability":132,"createdAt":133,"updatedAt":134,"resolutionDate":17,"description":135,"summary":136,"volume1wk":137,"featured":35},"79831","Highest grossing movie in 2026?","highest-grossing-movie-in-2026",[9,130,131],"Movies","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.836Z","2026-05-30T10:38:22.629Z","This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002Fyear\u002F2026\u002F?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","“Highest grossing movie in 2026?” is a Culture prediction market asking which film will finish with the top domestic calendar gross in 2026. The outcome is determined by the title of the movie with the highest 2026 gross in Box Office Mojo’s Gross column, using calendar-year revenue only; earnings from outside 2026 do not count. If two films end in an exact tie, the alphabetically earlier title wins. The market runs through December 31, 2026, with a fallback resolution deadline of January 7, 2027 if final data is not yet available. \n\nThis event matters to movie traders and entertainment watchers because box office performance often reflects release timing, franchise strength, audience demand, and broader market sentiment around major studio releases. As of the latest update, the market implies about a 65% probability for the expected outcome, though that forecast can shift as the year progresses and new releases reach theaters. For users searching for highest grossing movie in 2026 prediction, odds, or probability, this event is a straightforward entertainment forecast centered on domestic box office leadership rather than global revenue.",1155584.2542610003,{"id":139,"title":140,"slug":141,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":142,"probability":144,"createdAt":145,"updatedAt":146,"resolutionDate":147,"description":148,"summary":149,"volume1wk":150,"featured":35},"527700","Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-648",[9,11,143,13],"Trump",1.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.672Z","2026-05-30T10:37:50.902Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and\u002For unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","\"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?\" is a culture prediction market asking whether the Trump administration will declassify any previously non-public files related to extraterrestrial life or unexplained aerial phenomena by the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. The forecast hinges on whether official U.S. government action occurs within the market’s timeframe; announcements that are not implemented before the cutoff do not count. In this event prediction, the relevant entities include the Trump administration, the Executive Office of the President, the Department of Defense, and other executive branch agencies under presidential authority. The market matters because declassification of UFO-related material would be a notable political and public-information event, with potential implications for government transparency and public debate around unexplained aerial phenomena. Current market probability is about 1.15%, suggesting traders assign very low odds to a qualifying declassification before expiration. As with most prediction market listings, the outcome is resolved using official U.S. government information, with credible reporting serving as a secondary source if needed.",88416.753225,{"id":152,"title":153,"slug":154,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":155,"probability":57,"createdAt":158,"updatedAt":159,"resolutionDate":160,"description":161,"summary":162,"volume1wk":163,"featured":35},"527173","\"The Breadwinner\" Opening Weekend Box Office","the-breadwinner-opening-weekend-box-office",[9,130,156,157],"box office","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50","2026-05-30T10:42:54.267Z","2026-05-30T10:37:45.241Z","2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to how much \"The Breadwinner\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002F and https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","\"The Breadwinner\" Opening Weekend Box Office is a culture prediction market focused on how much the film will gross domestically during its 3-day opening weekend, May 29 to May 31, 2026. Traders are forecasting the final reported figure using The Numbers’ Weekend Box Office Performance data, with Box Office Mojo and The Numbers serving as the key resolution sources if there is any ambiguity. The market will close by June 1, 2026, and if final data is still unavailable by June 7, 2026, another credible source may be used.\n\nThis event matters because opening weekend box office is one of the clearest early signals of a movie’s commercial performance, making it a common focus for entertainment forecasts and pop culture odds. Current market probability is around 5%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of the specified outcome bracket being reached. As a prediction market, it reflects live market sentiment rather than a guaranteed result, and the final resolution depends entirely on verified domestic gross figures for the weekend.",145742.57991500004,{"id":165,"title":166,"slug":167,"category":8,"subcategory":130,"tags":168,"probability":169,"createdAt":170,"updatedAt":171,"resolutionDate":160,"description":172,"summary":173,"volume1wk":174,"featured":35},"527174","\"The Mandalorian and Grogu\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","the-mandalorian-and-grogu-2nd-weekend-box-office",[130,9,156,157],95.6,"2026-05-30T10:43:07.632Z","2026-05-30T10:37:35.259Z","This market will resolve according to how much \"The Mandalorian and Grogu\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002F and https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","\"The Mandalorian and Grogu\" 2nd Weekend Box Office is a culture prediction market focused on how much the film will gross domestically during its second weekend. Traders are forecasting the movie’s 3-day weekend box office performance for May 29 to May 31, using final figures from The Numbers, with Box Office Mojo used to confirm results if needed. The market resolves based on the reported domestic weekend total, and if the number lands exactly between two brackets, it settles in the higher range. This makes the event a straightforward test of box office momentum after opening weekend and a useful gauge of market sentiment around audience retention for the Star Wars title. The current market probability is 95.6%, indicating strong expectations for the forecasted outcome, though that figure is not guaranteed. The event remains open through June 1, 2026, and if final data is still unavailable by June 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. For prediction market watchers, this is a timely entertainment forecast centered on second-weekend box office odds and expected performance.",33494.41246000001,{"id":176,"title":177,"slug":178,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":179,"probability":57,"createdAt":180,"updatedAt":181,"resolutionDate":182,"description":183,"summary":184,"volume1wk":185,"featured":35},"525678","Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-29-june-5",[9,11,55,56],"2026-05-30T10:42:47.035Z","2026-05-30T10:37:13.954Z","2026-06-05T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026? is a Culture prediction market that forecasts how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X during the specified week. The event resolves based on the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, covering main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from May 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Replies do not count toward the total, while deleted posts may still count if captured by the tracker. If the tracker fails to update correctly, X itself can be used as a secondary resolution source.\n\nThis event matters because Elon Musk’s posting behavior often draws broad attention across politics, technology, and online culture, making it a closely watched event prediction for traders tracking social media activity. Current market probability is about 5%, suggesting traders see a relatively low expected outcome for this specific posting count range or resolution condition. As with other tweet markets, market sentiment can shift quickly as Musk’s activity changes near the end of the measurement window. The market closes on June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.",1038944.585451,{"id":187,"title":188,"slug":189,"category":8,"subcategory":130,"tags":190,"probability":191,"createdAt":192,"updatedAt":193,"resolutionDate":17,"description":194,"summary":195,"volume1wk":196,"featured":35},"79836","Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?","which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026",[130,9,131],0,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.393Z","2026-05-30T10:37:04.359Z","This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002Fmovies\u002Fyear\u002F2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","\"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?\" is a culture prediction market tracking which film will earn the highest 3-day domestic opening weekend box office of the year. The event resolves using The Numbers’ 2026 movie box office tables, based specifically on final Friday-Sunday opening weekend figures rather than studio estimates. That means the forecast focuses on the first major theatrical performance for each qualifying film, and the winning title is the movie that grosses more than any other release in 2026. If two films tie, the alphabetical title comes first. The market remains open through the 2026 movie release calendar, with a deadline of December 31, 2026 and fallback resolution rules if final data is still unavailable by January 31, 2027. Current market probability data is not shown here, so traders are watching opening-weekend expectations, release timing, and box office momentum rather than a fixed favorite. This event is useful for following entertainment forecasts, market sentiment around upcoming movies, and prediction market odds tied to theatrical performance.",121712.20407499999,{"id":198,"title":199,"slug":200,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":201,"probability":202,"createdAt":203,"updatedAt":204,"resolutionDate":17,"description":205,"summary":206,"volume1wk":207,"featured":35},"121853","Which artists will release new albums in 2026?","which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026",[9,40],40.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:17.358Z","2026-05-30T10:36:02.736Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.\n","“Which artists will release new albums in 2026?” is a culture prediction market tracking whether listed artists officially release a new album during the 2026 calendar year. The event resolves “Yes” only if an album becomes officially available to stream or download between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT; re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, and greatest hits releases generally do not count unless they include at least 50% previously unreleased tracks. This makes the market a straightforward forecast of real music-release activity rather than touring or promotional announcements. Traders use the event to express market sentiment on which artists are most likely to deliver a new album before the deadline, and the outcome will be determined from official sources such as Apple Music or Spotify. The market opened on December 24, 2025 and runs through the end of 2026. Current market probability is about 40.5%, suggesting participants see the event as plausible but far from certain. As a prediction market in the Music and Culture category, it is closely watched by followers of entertainment forecasts and pop culture odds.",17530.729517,{"id":209,"title":210,"slug":211,"category":8,"subcategory":212,"tags":213,"probability":214,"createdAt":215,"updatedAt":216,"resolutionDate":217,"description":218,"summary":219,"volume1wk":220,"featured":35},"24383","Harvey Weinstein prison time?","harvey-weinstein-prison-time","Courts",[212,9,130],76,"2026-05-30T10:43:14.215Z","2026-05-30T10:35:46.808Z","2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","Harvey Weinstein prison time? is a culture prediction market in the Courts subcategory tracking the sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein in his ongoing New York retrial, People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein. The forecast asks a straightforward question: will the first sentence in this case include jail or prison time, or will the market resolve to No Prison Time if there is an acquittal, mistrial, no custodial sentence, or no sentencing by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution is based on the first sentencing outcome in the case and does not depend on appeals or whether any term runs concurrently with an existing sentence. As of the latest market data, traders assign about a 76% probability to prison time, suggesting market sentiment leans toward a custodial outcome. The event is relevant to observers of criminal courts, entertainment news, and high-profile legal proceedings, with official New York court information serving as the primary source for resolution.",20403.958486,{"id":222,"title":223,"slug":224,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":225,"probability":229,"createdAt":230,"updatedAt":231,"resolutionDate":232,"description":233,"summary":234,"volume1wk":235,"featured":35},"514167","What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-126",[9,226,227,228],"Mentions","YouTube","MrBeast",59.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:17.402Z","2026-05-30T10:35:28.385Z","2026-05-30T00:00:00.000Z","MrBeast releases videos on https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@MrBeast.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.\n\nAI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.\n\nAny usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nPluralization\u002Fpossessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.\n\nInstances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for \"joy,\" however \"killjoy\" is a compounding of the words \"kill\" and \"joy\").\n\nIf this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe \u002F Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).\n\nIf no such video is posted by MrBeast by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be the released video from (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@MrBeast).\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.","What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? is a culture prediction market asking traders to forecast whether MrBeast will say a specified term in the next video he posts on his YouTube channel, @MrBeast. The market resolves to Yes if the listed word or phrase appears in that next release, including in clips, prerecorded segments, or AI-generated audio\u002Fvideo, and it resolves to No if the term does not appear. The event is time-bound: if no qualifying video is posted by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the outcome will be No. \n\nThis event prediction matters because MrBeast is one of YouTube’s most watched creators, so even simple mention-based markets can attract active market sentiment and short-term speculation. Current market probability is about 59.5%, indicating traders see a modestly stronger chance of a Yes outcome, though the odds remain dependent on the content of the next upload. As a prediction market in the Culture category, this listing sits at the intersection of YouTube, MrBeast, mentions, and entertainment forecasting.",17401.972905,{"id":237,"title":238,"slug":239,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":240,"probability":243,"createdAt":244,"updatedAt":245,"resolutionDate":147,"description":246,"summary":247,"volume1wk":248,"featured":35},"459188","Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?","hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1",[9,241,242],"Hantavirus","Weather",1.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.440Z","2026-05-30T10:34:55.088Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? is a culture prediction market asking whether any hantavirus case linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship outbreak will be confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled lab setting by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast focuses on a narrow evidentiary standard: credible reporting must confirm a lab-originated case, though it does not need to prove that this source directly caused the outbreak. Speculation, unverified claims, or statements that a lab origin has merely not been ruled out are not enough. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, making source quality central to the event prediction. As of the latest pricing, traders are assigning about a 1.35% probability to a Yes outcome, suggesting market sentiment expects a lab leak confirmation to remain unlikely before the deadline. For search and indexing, this event sits at the intersection of culture, hantavirus, and weather-related public attention, with the forecast tied to ongoing reporting rather than official conjecture.",120761.47503299997,{"id":250,"title":251,"slug":252,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":253,"probability":255,"createdAt":256,"updatedAt":257,"resolutionDate":258,"description":259,"summary":260,"volume1wk":261,"featured":35},"23792","GTA VI released before June 2026?","gta-vi-released-before-june-2026",[9,94,254],"Breaking News",0.1,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.369Z","2026-05-30T10:34:22.826Z","2026-05-31T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\u002FS) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.","GTA VI released before June 2026? is a Culture prediction market asking whether Grand Theft Auto VI will be officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast is straightforward: traders are pricing a Yes or No outcome based on whether Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, confirms a public US release before the deadline. For this event, an official release means the game becomes available for purchase or download in the US; early access, beta versions, leaks, and other pre-release availability do not count. A limited release on only certain consoles would still resolve Yes. Current market probability sits around 10%, suggesting market sentiment leans heavily toward No, even as prediction market odds can shift with new announcements or release updates. The event matters because GTA VI is one of the most closely watched entertainment launches, and resolution depends on official information rather than rumors. The market opened on May 2, 2025 and runs until the end-of-May 2026 cutoff, making timing central to the event prediction.",452559.0038259997,{"id":263,"title":264,"slug":265,"category":8,"subcategory":130,"tags":266,"probability":267,"createdAt":268,"updatedAt":269,"resolutionDate":270,"description":271,"summary":272,"volume1wk":273,"featured":35},"174752","Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3?","who-will-die-in-euphoria-season-3",[130,9],4.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:53.717Z","2026-05-30T10:34:11.860Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","\"Euphoria: Season 3\" is scheduled to air eight episodes weekly on Sundays at 9PM ET, beginning April 12.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during \"Euphoria: Season 3\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). \n\nIf a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will NOT qualify. A death must be permanent to count toward resolution. (For example, an overdose resulting in a stopped heart followed by subsequent revival with medical intervention would not qualify.) Qualifying deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in \"Euphoria: Season 3\" will count toward resolution.\n\nFlashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before \"Euphoria: Season 3\" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of \"Euphoria: Season 3\" will qualify.\n\nOnly events depicted in official \"Euphoria: Season 3\" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of \"Euphoria: Season 3\" is released.","Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3? is a culture prediction market focused on whether any specified character dies during HBO’s third season of the series. The market resolves to Yes only if a death is clearly confirmed on screen or otherwise stated within official Euphoria: Season 3 episodes, with permanent death required for resolution. Ambiguous fates, dream sequences, flashbacks, and deaths confirmed before the season begins do not count. The season is scheduled to run for eight weekly episodes on Sundays at 9PM ET, beginning April 12, with the market resolving after the final episode is released. For traders following entertainment forecast and pop culture odds, the current market probability is about 4.5%, suggesting a low expectation that the event prediction will occur. That probability reflects market sentiment, not certainty, and can change as new episodes air. As a prediction market in the Movies\u002FCulture category, this listing tracks how participants assess the expected outcome across the season’s official storyline and any qualifying on-screen developments.",155380.582144,{"id":275,"title":276,"slug":277,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":278,"probability":191,"createdAt":280,"updatedAt":281,"resolutionDate":270,"description":282,"summary":283,"volume1wk":284,"featured":35},"428235","Will Trump dance on...?","will-trump-dance-on",[9,11,143,279],"Trump Daily","2026-05-30T10:42:46.188Z","2026-05-30T10:33:20.491Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n\"Dancing\" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.\n\nAI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. \n\nVideos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.\n\nThis market will resolve based on video footage.","Will Trump dance on...? is a Culture prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will be seen dancing on the specified date. The event resolves to \"Yes\" only if video footage shows Trump performing deliberate, rhythmic body movement between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on that day; casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental movement does not count. The market also excludes AI-generated content, deepfakes, altered footage, and videos posted later from outside the time window. This makes the forecast highly dependent on verifiable public video evidence and clear resolution rules.\n\nAs a culture and politics event prediction, it draws attention because Trump-related media moments often generate strong market sentiment and trading activity across pop culture odds. The current market probability is 0, indicating traders are not pricing in a confirmed dancing appearance at the moment. The market opened on April 28, 2026 and remains active through May 31, 2026. For prediction market participants, the key question is simple: will footage emerge that meets the definition of dancing before the deadline?",1471408.9018590038,{"id":286,"title":287,"slug":288,"category":8,"subcategory":156,"tags":289,"probability":107,"createdAt":290,"updatedAt":291,"resolutionDate":160,"description":292,"summary":293,"volume1wk":294,"featured":35},"527165","\"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)","backrooms-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes",[156,130,9],"2026-05-30T10:42:52.165Z","2026-05-30T10:32:46.773Z","This market will resolve according to how much \"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002F and https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","\"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) is a culture prediction market centered on how much the film will gross domestically during its opening weekend, with resolution based on final box office figures from The Numbers. Traders are forecasting the movie’s 3-day weekend total for May 29–May 31, and the market will use finalized data rather than studio estimates. If the reported gross lands exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range, which makes the bracket structure especially important for event prediction and odds analysis. The market is active through the release window, with an end date of June 1, 2026, and a backup resolution deadline of June 7, 2026, if final reporting is still unavailable. Current market probability is about 15%, indicating relatively low odds for the higher-strikes outcome and a cautious market sentiment around opening weekend performance. For prediction market observers, this event combines movie box office tracking, entertainment forecasting, and domestic gross reporting into a single searchable outcome tied to The Numbers and Box Office Mojo confirmation.",208138.15000099997,{"id":296,"title":297,"slug":298,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":299,"probability":70,"createdAt":301,"updatedAt":302,"resolutionDate":270,"description":303,"summary":304,"volume1wk":305,"featured":35},"452546","Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?","another-gta-vi-trailer-released-by-may-31",[9,94,300],"Games","2026-05-30T10:43:01.762Z","2026-05-30T10:32:46.030Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if another official trailer for the next GTA (GTA VI) is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn \"official trailer\" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to \"No\".","Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? is a Culture prediction market centered on whether Rockstar Games will publish a new official trailer for Grand Theft Auto VI before the market expires on May 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The forecast is straightforward: traders are predicting whether an official GTA VI trailer will appear on Rockstar’s website, YouTube channel, Twitter\u002FX, or another official Rockstar account during the market window. Teasers, gameplay clips, or other promotional material do not qualify unless Rockstar explicitly labels the video as a trailer. \n\nThis event matters because GTA VI is one of the most closely watched games in the industry, and any new trailer would be a major signal for fans, media coverage, and market sentiment around the release timeline. Current market probability is about 1.95%, indicating that traders see a release by the deadline as unlikely, though not impossible. As an event prediction in the gaming and pop culture space, this market reflects expectations around Rockstar’s next official move rather than the game’s final launch date.",56029.41313800001,{"id":307,"title":308,"slug":309,"category":8,"subcategory":310,"tags":311,"probability":95,"createdAt":316,"updatedAt":317,"resolutionDate":147,"description":318,"summary":319,"volume1wk":320,"featured":35},"326753","How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?","how-high-will-polymarkets-mindshare-go-by-june-30","Polymarket",[310,312,9,313,314,315],"Tech","Prediction Markets","Business","Kaito","2026-05-30T10:43:23.522Z","2026-05-30T10:32:44.596Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https:\u002F\u002Fkaito.ai\u002Fmindshare-arena\u002Finfomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https:\u002F\u002Fkaito.ai\u002Fmindshare-arena\u002Finfomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https:\u002F\u002Fkaito.ai\u002Fmindshare-arena\u002Finfomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https:\u002F\u002Fkaito.ai\u002Fmindshare-arena\u002Finfomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30? is a prediction market in the Culture category that asks whether Polymarket’s daily mindshare on Kaito’s Information Markets Arena will reach a specified level before the market closes on June 30, 2026 ET. The forecast is based on finalized daily values from Kaito’s Historical Data for Polymarket mindshare, reported to two decimal places and used as the official resolution source. In plain terms, traders are speculating on how much attention Polymarket is capturing relative to other tracked markets over the course of the event window, which began on April 1, 2026. The outcome matters because it reflects market sentiment around Polymarket’s visibility, momentum, and broader influence within prediction markets and crypto-adjacent culture. With current market probability at 100%, odds suggest traders expect the threshold to be reached, though prediction markets can change as new data arrives. This event combines Polymarket, Kaito, Tech, Business, and Culture themes, making it relevant for users tracking event prediction, mindshare trends, and platform attention metrics ahead of the June 30 deadline.",11875.859794000002,{"id":322,"title":323,"slug":324,"category":8,"subcategory":42,"tags":325,"probability":329,"createdAt":330,"updatedAt":331,"resolutionDate":270,"description":332,"summary":333,"volume1wk":334,"featured":35},"428466","Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?","which-artists-will-have-1-hits-in-the-us-in-may",[42,326,9,81,327,40,328],"Celebrities","Iceman","Taylor Swift",96.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.946Z","2026-05-30T10:32:44.365Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to \"Yes\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https:\u002F\u002Fopen.spotify.com\u002Fplaylist\u002F37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp. ","\"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?\" is a culture prediction market focused on whether any listed artist will reach the No. 1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart during the month of May, ET. The market resolves \"Yes\" if a song by one of the named primary artists appears at #1 on any day in the relevant month; featured artists and collaborations under another artist profile do not count for resolution. This makes the forecast especially relevant for tracking mainstream music momentum, streaming performance, and broader pop culture attention. The market is tied to Spotify’s official Top 50 - USA playlist as the resolution source, which gives traders a clear benchmark for event prediction. Current market probability is about 96.65%, suggesting strong market sentiment that at least one qualifying artist will hit the top position before the event ends on May 31. As a prediction market in the billboard and music category, it reflects not only listener demand but also how traders assess likely chart leaders across the month.",112757.47456700003,{"id":336,"title":337,"slug":338,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":339,"probability":191,"createdAt":341,"updatedAt":342,"resolutionDate":343,"description":344,"summary":345,"volume1wk":346,"featured":35},"39839","Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?","taylor-swift-x-travis-kelce-get-married-by",[9,328,340],"travis kelce","2026-05-30T10:43:11.313Z","2026-05-30T10:32:41.440Z","2025-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage takes place by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resole to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...? is a culture prediction market asking whether Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce will have married by the listed deadline. In plain terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome of a real-world relationship milestone, with the market resolving to “Yes” if the marriage takes place by the end date and “No” if it does not. The resolution source prioritizes statements from Swift and Kelce themselves, along with a consensus of credible reporting, which makes this an event prediction tied to public confirmation rather than speculation alone. The market opened on 2025-08-26 and is scheduled to run through 2025-12-31, giving participants a defined timeframe for assessing odds and market sentiment. Current market probability is shown at 0%, although that figure should be read as the present market state rather than a guarantee of the final result. As a pop culture forecast, this event has drawn attention from traders watching celebrity news, engagement rumors, and broader entertainment sentiment across the prediction market.",24419.877938,{"id":348,"title":349,"slug":350,"category":8,"subcategory":130,"tags":351,"probability":352,"createdAt":353,"updatedAt":354,"resolutionDate":160,"description":355,"summary":356,"volume1wk":357,"featured":35},"534458","\"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)","backrooms-opening-weekend-box-office-even-higher-strikes",[130,9,156,157],1.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.187Z","2026-05-30T10:32:20.764Z","This market will resolve according to how much \"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002F and https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F have confirmed their finalized figures. \n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","“Backrooms” Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes) is a culture prediction market focused on how much the film will gross domestically during its opening weekend. The forecast is based on final 3-day weekend box office data from The Numbers, covering May 29 to May 31, with resolution tied to finalized figures rather than studio estimates. If the reported total falls between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range. The event is active from May 28, 2026 through June 1, 2026, with a fallback deadline of June 7, 2026 if final data is delayed. For traders following movie and box office odds, this market tracks expected outcome and market sentiment around the film’s debut performance. The current market probability is about 1.65%, suggesting a low implied chance for this higher-grossing outcome at the time of observation. As a prediction market in the Movies subcategory, it reflects how participants are pricing the opening weekend forecast using domestic box office reporting from trusted industry sources.",319619.903876,{"id":359,"title":360,"slug":361,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":362,"probability":364,"createdAt":365,"updatedAt":366,"resolutionDate":367,"description":368,"summary":369,"volume1wk":370,"featured":35},"74872","GTA 6 launch postponed again?","gta-6-launch-postponed-again",[9,312,363,94],"video games",23.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:09.263Z","2026-05-30T10:32:19.764Z","2026-11-19T00:00:00.000Z","On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\u002FS) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","GTA 6 launch postponed again? is a culture prediction market focused on whether Grand Theft Auto VI will miss its latest announced U.S. release date. Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, previously confirmed that GTA VI was delayed from May 26, 2026 to November 19, 2026, and this event asks whether the game will be postponed once more or otherwise not released in the U.S. by that deadline. The market will resolve based on official information from Rockstar Games or Take-Two, with credible reporting also allowed as a source.\n\nFor prediction market traders, the forecast centers on the expected outcome by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: “Yes” if Rockstar or Take-Two announces another delay, or if the game is not publicly available for purchase or download in the U.S. by then; otherwise, the result is “No.” Early access, beta versions, leaks, and pre-release access do not count as a release.\n\nCurrent market probability is about 23.5%, suggesting traders see a delay as possible but not the base case.",29288.857023999997,{"id":372,"title":373,"slug":374,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":375,"probability":191,"createdAt":379,"updatedAt":380,"resolutionDate":17,"description":381,"summary":382,"volume1wk":383,"featured":35},"360860","Satoshi's identity be proven by...?","satoshis-identity-be-proven-by",[9,376,312,377,11,378],"Crypto","Big Tech","Bitcoin","2026-05-30T10:42:47.399Z","2026-05-30T10:31:59.457Z","This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.","Satoshi's identity be proven by...? is a prediction market asking whether the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, will be definitively proven before the listed deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if credible evidence confirms Satoshi’s identity, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets, or if a credible consensus of reporting establishes the claim. Otherwise, it resolves to No. This event sits at the intersection of culture, crypto, tech, Big Tech, and politics, making it relevant to Bitcoin traders, analysts, and observers of digital currency history. Market sentiment currently implies a 0% probability of a Yes outcome, suggesting traders do not expect definitive proof to emerge before expiration. As an event prediction, it reflects both the uncertainty around Satoshi’s identity and the broader interest in whether a long-standing question in crypto can ever be resolved with verifiable evidence.",900842.1012429999,{"id":385,"title":386,"slug":387,"category":8,"subcategory":156,"tags":388,"probability":389,"createdAt":390,"updatedAt":391,"resolutionDate":160,"description":392,"summary":393,"volume1wk":394,"featured":35},"527175","\"Obsession\" 3rd Weekend Box Office","obsession-3rd-weekend-box-office",[156,9,130,157],0.25,"2026-05-30T10:43:12.810Z","2026-05-30T10:31:57.562Z","This market will resolve according to how much \"Obsession\" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https:\u002F\u002Fwww.boxofficemojo.com\u002F and https:\u002F\u002Fwww.the-numbers.com\u002F have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","\"Obsession\" 3rd Weekend Box Office is a prediction market focused on how much the film \"Obsession\" will gross domestically during its third weekend, based on final weekend box office figures from The Numbers. The forecast uses the 3-day period from May 29 to May 31, with Thursday previews included in the Weekend Box Office Performance total. Because the market resolves only after final numbers are confirmed, traders are watching for late updates from The Numbers and Box Office Mojo before the June 7, 2026 deadline if needed. Current market probability is about 25%, suggesting traders assign a modest chance to the expected outcome being reached in the listed bracket. As a culture and movies event, this box office forecast reflects broader market sentiment around theatrical performance, audience retention, and how well \"Obsession\" holds up in its third weekend. The event prediction matters because third-weekend grosses often indicate a film’s staying power after opening momentum fades.",22209.116738,{"id":396,"title":397,"slug":398,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":399,"probability":95,"createdAt":401,"updatedAt":402,"resolutionDate":17,"description":403,"summary":404,"volume1wk":405,"featured":35},"197703","Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?","which-kpop-groups-will-release-songs-in-2026",[9,40,400,326],"South Korea","2026-05-30T10:43:05.338Z","2026-05-30T10:31:48.834Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. \n\nSongs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.\n","Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026? is a culture prediction market tracking which listed South Korean music groups will officially release at least one new song before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. The forecast is straightforward: traders are predicting whether each group will have a qualifying release available on an official streaming or download platform such as Spotify or Apple Music by the deadline. Releases from individual members, subgroups, live performances, remixes, re-releases, and deluxe editions do not count unless the song is credited to the listed group itself. If a track is jointly credited to multiple groups as primary artists, it counts for all of them. This event matters because KPop release timing is closely watched by fans, labels, and market observers, making it a useful entertainment forecast for tracking music activity across the industry. As of the latest market data, the current probability is 100%, indicating strong market sentiment that the event will resolve to Yes. The market opened on February 3, 2026 and runs through the end of the year, giving traders a long horizon to assess upcoming group comebacks and official song releases.",40754.407692,{"id":407,"title":408,"slug":409,"category":8,"subcategory":130,"tags":410,"probability":57,"createdAt":412,"updatedAt":413,"resolutionDate":160,"description":292,"summary":414,"volume1wk":415,"featured":35},"478336","\"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office","backrooms-opening-weekend-box-office",[130,9,156,411],"Rewards 50, 4.5, 20","2026-05-30T10:43:03.678Z","2026-05-30T10:31:35.154Z","\"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office is a culture prediction market in the Movies category that asks traders to forecast how much the film will gross domestically during its opening weekend. The market resolves using final Weekend Box Office Performance figures from The Numbers for the 3-day period of May 29 to May 31, with Thursday previews typically included in that total. If final figures are unclear, Box Office Mojo and The Numbers must both confirm the result before resolution; otherwise, a fallback source may be used if needed by June 7, 2026.\n\nThis event matters because opening weekend box office is a key early indicator of audience demand, studio performance, and broader market sentiment around a new release. The current market probability is about 5%, suggesting traders assign only a small chance to the lower-priced outcome currently implied by the prediction market. As with any event prediction, the odds reflect expectations rather than certainty, and the final result will depend on reported domestic revenue once official numbers are published.",47621.383603,{"id":417,"title":418,"slug":419,"category":8,"subcategory":40,"tags":420,"probability":191,"createdAt":421,"updatedAt":422,"resolutionDate":423,"description":424,"summary":425,"volume1wk":426,"featured":35},"22448","Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?","taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025",[40,326,9,328],"2026-05-30T10:43:09.132Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.445Z","2026-12-31T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    \n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.","Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? is a culture prediction market asking whether Taylor Swift will announce that she is pregnant during the market window, which begins on July 30, 2025 and runs through December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The event is focused on a clearly defined outcome: a credible pregnancy announcement from Swift herself or her representatives, or in rare cases a definitive consensus of credible media reporting. Jokes or unverified claims do not count toward resolution. As a music and celebrity forecast, the market reflects how traders are weighing entertainment news, public appearances, and broader market sentiment around one of the world’s most closely watched artists. The current market probability is 0%, indicating no price is being assigned to a “Yes” outcome at this time, though prediction market odds can change if new information emerges before the deadline. For search engines and event prediction pages, this listing sits squarely in the Culture \u002F Music category and centers on a single question: will Taylor Swift make a verified pregnancy announcement within the specified timeframe?",29811.399350000018,{"id":428,"title":429,"slug":430,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":431,"probability":191,"createdAt":432,"updatedAt":433,"resolutionDate":434,"description":435,"summary":436,"volume1wk":437,"featured":35},"301948","Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-2026",[9,11,55],"2026-05-30T10:42:49.280Z","2026-05-30T10:31:18.208Z","2026-06-01T04:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? is a culture prediction market that asks how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X during May 2026. The forecast is based on the total count of qualifying main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies do not count unless they appear as main-feed replies captured by the tracker. Deleted posts can still count if they are indexed quickly enough, and community reposts are excluded. The event is important because it tracks public communication activity from one of the most watched figures on X, making it a closely followed event prediction for traders interested in social-media behavior and pop culture odds. The market is scheduled through the end of May 2026, with resolution expected around June 1, 2026 using the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, or X itself if needed as a backup source. Current market sentiment reflects active trading, with a listed probability of 0 shown in the available data, so the expected outcome should be interpreted cautiously rather than as a settled forecast.",463088.94635000004,{"id":439,"title":440,"slug":441,"category":8,"subcategory":442,"tags":443,"probability":447,"createdAt":448,"updatedAt":449,"resolutionDate":17,"description":450,"summary":451,"volume1wk":452,"featured":35},"45214","Who will acquire TikTok?","who-will-acquire-tiktok-559","TikTok",[442,312,444,377,445,446],"China","Finance","Acquisitions",1.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.772Z","2026-05-30T10:31:05.642Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\"  if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and\u002For TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n","Who will acquire TikTok? is a culture prediction market tracking whether a named individual, either directly or through an associated entity, will officially enter into an agreement to acquire TikTok’s U.S. operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event does not require the acquisition to be completed; an official announcement of an agreement is enough for a Yes resolution. That makes the market focused on the announcement itself, rather than closing mechanics or later regulatory steps.\n\nThis forecast matters because TikTok sits at the center of a wider debate involving Big Tech, China, finance, and acquisitions, and any credible deal signal could move market sentiment quickly. Traders are watching for official statements from the individual or TikTok, while credible reporting may also influence the expected outcome. As of the latest data, the market-implied probability is about 1.45%, suggesting traders currently see an acquisition announcement as unlikely, though not impossible.\n\nFor prediction market participants, this event combines policy, technology, and deal speculation in one deadline-driven forecast. The relevant timeframe extends through mid-2026, with resolution based on public confirmation or credible consensus reporting.",177483.4956559999,{"id":454,"title":455,"slug":456,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":457,"probability":191,"createdAt":460,"updatedAt":461,"resolutionDate":462,"description":463,"summary":464,"volume1wk":465,"featured":35},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[9,458,459,130],"TV","netflix","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-05-30T10:30:54.853Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? is a Culture prediction market asking whether Netflix will officially add a new Stranger Things episode during the market window, with resolution due by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event is narrowly defined: the episode must be a distinct, playable entry on Netflix in the United States, not a trailer, featurette, recap, deleted-scenes compilation, or other bonus content. Alternate or extended cuts of existing episodes also do not count unless Netflix lists them as separate episode entries. This makes the forecast less about general Stranger Things activity and more about whether Netflix expands the series’ episode list in a way that meets the market’s strict rules. As a prediction market tied to one of Netflix’s best-known titles, it draws attention from traders tracking entertainment release timing and market sentiment around streaming content. The current market probability is 0%, indicating that traders see a new qualifying episode as unlikely, though that odds reading can shift if credible reporting or Netflix’s title page changes before the deadline.",19453459.412601095,{"id":467,"title":468,"slug":469,"category":8,"subcategory":227,"tags":470,"probability":95,"createdAt":471,"updatedAt":472,"resolutionDate":147,"description":473,"summary":474,"volume1wk":475,"featured":35},"424974","Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?","will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-june-30",[227,9,228],"2026-05-30T10:43:25.512Z","2026-05-30T10:30:51.005Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.","Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30? is a Culture prediction market centered on the growth of the MrBeast YouTube channel and whether it reaches the specified subscriber milestone by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The event asks traders to forecast a clear expected outcome: Yes if the channel hits the target subscriber count by the deadline, and No if it does not. The primary resolution source is the MrBeast YouTube channel itself, with credible reporting used as a fallback if needed.\n\nThis event matters because MrBeast is one of the most followed creators on YouTube, so subscriber growth is closely watched in entertainment and pop culture markets. As of the latest data, the market probability is 100%, indicating strong market sentiment that the milestone will be reached, though prediction market odds can change as new subscriber data emerges. The market opened on April 27, 2026 and remains active through the June 30 deadline.",10681.437413,{"id":477,"title":478,"slug":479,"category":8,"subcategory":411,"tags":480,"probability":107,"createdAt":482,"updatedAt":483,"resolutionDate":484,"description":485,"summary":486,"volume1wk":487,"featured":35},"528379","What will be the top US Netflix show this week?","what-will-be-the-top-us-netflix-show-this-week-251",[411,459,9,481,130],"Top Netflix","2026-05-30T10:43:06.426Z","2026-05-30T10:30:47.520Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).\n\nThis market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.\n\nThe ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.\n\nIf the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","What will be the top US Netflix show this week? is a culture prediction market that asks traders to forecast which Netflix TV series will rank #1 in the United States based on total weekly views. Netflix is expected to publish its Top 10 TV shows update on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, covering viewership from Monday through Sunday. The market resolves using that official ranking, and if the update does not appear by June 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve to Other.\n\nThis event matters because Netflix’s weekly charts are a widely watched signal of streaming demand, audience behavior, and pop culture momentum. The current market probability is about 15%, indicating traders see a relatively low chance for the implied favorite, though market sentiment can shift as new viewing data becomes available. As an entertainment forecast and event prediction, the listing draws attention from users tracking Netflix, Top Netflix rankings, Movies, and broader culture odds.",36458.209438000005,{"id":489,"title":490,"slug":491,"category":8,"subcategory":9,"tags":492,"probability":495,"createdAt":496,"updatedAt":497,"resolutionDate":484,"description":498,"summary":499,"volume1wk":500,"featured":35},"514386","Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 6","billboard-hot-100-1-song-week-of-june-6",[9,40,493,81,494,327],"song","album",3.75,"2026-05-30T10:43:25.229Z","2026-05-30T10:30:29.064Z","Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 6, 2026”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.billboard.com\u002Fcharts\u002Fhot-100\u002F) or through other official Billboard channels.\n","Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 6 is a culture prediction market focused on which track will top the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the chart week titled “Week of June 6, 2026.” The forecast resolves to the song ranked number one on Billboard’s published Hot 100 list, with the result based on the official chart posted on Billboard’s website or other official channels. Billboard typically updates the chart each Tuesday using data from the prior Friday-through-Thursday tracking week, and this market is set to resolve once the relevant chart is released. If the expected chart is not published within 14 calendar days of the release date, the market resolves to “Other.”\n\nCurrent market probability for the leading outcome is about 3.75%, indicating traders are assigning relatively low odds to any single song being the eventual #1 at this stage. As a prediction market, it reflects evolving market sentiment around music performance, streaming, radio, and release timing, with odds shifting as the June 6 chart week approaches.",10911.543102,{"id":502,"title":503,"slug":504,"category":8,"subcategory":411,"tags":505,"probability":506,"createdAt":507,"updatedAt":508,"resolutionDate":484,"description":509,"summary":510,"volume1wk":511,"featured":35},"528387","What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?","what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-show-this-week-769",[411,459,9,130,481],6.4,"2026-05-30T10:43:23.659Z","2026-05-30T10:30:10.941Z","Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).\n\nThis market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.\n\nThe ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.\n\nIf the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? is a culture prediction market focused on Netflix’s weekly Top 10 TV ranking in the United States. Traders are forecasting which series will be listed in the No. 2 position when Netflix updates the chart on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The ranking is based on total U.S. views for TV shows over the prior Monday-to-Sunday tracking week, making this an event prediction tied directly to Netflix’s published viewing data.\n\nThe market matters because Netflix Top 10 results are closely watched as a signal of audience demand, streaming momentum, and broader market sentiment around entertainment titles. Current market probability puts the chance of a specific outcome at 6.4%, reflecting relatively dispersed odds among possible shows. If the Top 10 update does not appear by June 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. This prediction market is therefore centered on a single measurable outcome: which Netflix show lands at #2 in the U.S. weekly ranking.",11830.155956999999,{"id":513,"title":514,"slug":515,"category":8,"subcategory":40,"tags":516,"probability":95,"createdAt":517,"updatedAt":518,"resolutionDate":17,"description":519,"summary":520,"volume1wk":521,"featured":35},"79103","Which artists will release a new song in 2026?","which-artists-will-release-a-new-song-in-2026",[40,9],"2026-05-30T10:43:10.584Z","2026-05-30T10:30:09.552Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. \n\nIf a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.\n\nFor listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","Which artists will release a new song in 2026? is a Culture prediction market focused on whether the listed artists will officially release at least one new song or single during the calendar year 2026. The market resolves “Yes” only if a song is officially available on a streaming or download service, such as Spotify or Apple Music, between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Live performances, leaks, re-releases, remixes, alternate versions, and featured appearances do not count, and group entries must be released under the listed group name to qualify.\n\nThis event matters because it tracks music release activity across major artists and gives traders a way to price market sentiment around pop culture output, release schedules, and expected outcomes in the music industry. The current market probability is 100%, reflecting how the prediction market is pricing the event at this stage, though that does not guarantee the final result. The market is active through the end of 2026, making it a long-dated entertainment forecast with ongoing relevance for searchers following music odds, event prediction, and artist release timing.",25558.44195,{"id":523,"title":524,"slug":525,"category":8,"subcategory":411,"tags":526,"probability":527,"createdAt":528,"updatedAt":529,"resolutionDate":484,"description":530,"summary":531,"volume1wk":532,"featured":35},"528390","What will be the top global Netflix show this week?","what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-533",[411,481,459,9,130],0.35,"2026-05-30T10:43:16.495Z","2026-05-30T10:30:06.619Z","Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).\n\nThis market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.\n\nThe ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).\n\nIf the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","What will be the top global Netflix show this week? is a Culture prediction market that asks traders to forecast which English-language TV series Netflix will rank #1 worldwide on its Top 10 TV shows list. Netflix is expected to publish the update on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, covering viewing from the previous Monday through Sunday. The market resolves based on the show that appears as the top global Netflix title in that report, so the expected outcome depends on Netflix’s official viewership rankings rather than general popularity or critical reception.\n\nThis event matters because Netflix’s weekly Top 10 list is a widely watched signal of audience demand, streaming momentum, and pop culture attention. Market sentiment can shift quickly as new episodes, premieres, and bingeable releases change viewing patterns across regions. The current market probability is 35%, indicating a moderate level of confidence among traders for the leading outcome tracked by the market. If the Netflix update does not occur by June 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to Other.",18225.295319,1780676597874]